UFC Picks for Today – Predictions, Tips & Odds for the Latest UFC Fight Cards

UFC picks

With new fights happening every week, it’s pretty tough to keep up with the favorites, underdogs – and, most importantly, the value bets.

But with our expert UFC picks, you can always stay ahead of the curve. So, what’s up for this week? One very exciting card coming up is UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2.

The main event comes in the flyweight division, as the former champion Brandon Moreno takes on the third-ranked Brandon Royval in a rematch.

If you haven’t yet, clear your schedule and get in on the action at sports betting sites like Bovada. But first – read our UFC predictions and get those value bets in.

With massive bonuses, even if you’re registered with another sportsbook, you should dip your toes elsewhere. Not only could you find better odds, but you’ll have extra bankroll upon deposit.

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Summary of Our Top UFC Predictions

A quick breakdown of our top UFC predictions, which are explained in more detail in the article, for this upcoming Fight Night card.

Bet Odds
Brandon Moreno wins inside the distance +135 (Bovada)
Yair Rodriguez moneyline -150 (Bovada)
Daniel Zellhuber/Francisco Prado Over 1.5 rounds -200 (Bovada)
Raul Rosas Jr. wins by points +225 (BetOnline)
Yazmin Jauregui/Sam Hughes over 2.5 rounds -220 (MyBookie)
Miguel Torres wins inside the distance +120 (BetOnline)

Best UFC Picks Today

Picks and Predictions

Here are some of our UFC predictions and picks for UFC betting:

Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval 2

The main event comes in the flyweight division, as the number one ranked Brandon Moreno takes on the third-ranked Brandon Royval.

After dropping the flyweight title in a split decision loss to Alexandre Pantoja, Moreno returns to the octagon looking to reestablish himself as the number one contender. Having fought in six straight title fights, Moreno will fight in his first non-title fight since taking on Brandon Royval back in November of 2020.

A well rounded fighter, Moreno has shown comfortability wherever the fights ends up. While Moreno is a crisp striker, his strength lies within his offensive grappling. Strong in top control, Moreno will soften opponents with punches and fish for submissions. Boasting an iron chin and having cardio for days, Moreno is practically a terminator.

Meanwhile, coming up short in a title fight against Alexandre Pantoja, Moreno will look to rebound. Fighting Moreno, who defeated him back at UFC 255, Royval has an excellent opportunity to exact revenge and reposition himself back in the title hunt.

A high octane fighter, Royval is a whirlwind when he steps foot inside the octagon. Tempered in his last fight, but normally reckless on the feet, Royval is unafraid to brawl. Welcoming to being taken down, Royval is dangerous off his back – often chaining together various submission attempts.

In what should be an entertaining main event, we are backing Moreno.

Replacing Amir Albazi, who was originally scheduled to fight Moreno, Royval is taking a calculated risk. One that could reap in benefits, as Royval can even the score and knock off the number one contender in Moreno.

One of the top flyweights, Royval has the skills to be a champion. His style however, is very much risk and reward.

Lacking the ability to keep a fight upright, with a mere 40% takedown defense, Royval is too comfortable fighting off his back. With excellent grappling and the ability to cause havoc with multiple submission attempts, Royval always has an opportunity to halt the action.

While having a dangerous ground game is a benefit, against stiffer competition and grapplers, Royval can be taken down and controlled. In eight UFC fights, Royval has been taken down twenty-five times. To go further, on two separate occasions, Royval gave up eight takedowns.

Moreno, whose roots are based in grappling, is the type of fighter who can handle Royval. In the first fight between the two, which ended in a first round technical knockout victory for Moreno, the former champion landed two takedowns and had three minutes of control time.

Though Royval has certainly evolved from the first encounter, his recent fight against Alexandre Pantoja showed his weaknesses are still prevalent. Giving up eight takedowns and being controlled for fifteen of the twenty-five minutes of action, Royval’s chances of winning against Moreno stem solely on a hail mary knockout or submission.

We aren’t taking those odds. Instead, we are backing the former champion to bounce back in the win column with a dominant display.

Yair Rodriguez vs. Brian Ortega 2

The co-main event comes in the featherweight division, as former interim featherweight champion Yair Rodriguez takes on the fourth-ranked Brain Ortega in a rematch.

Falling short in a title unification fight with Alexander Volkanovski, Rodriguez returns to the octagon looking to bounce back. Seeking to end a two-fight skid, Ortega makes his first appearance since succumbing to an injury in the octagon against Rodriguez back in 2022.

In what should be a high level fight, we believe that Rodriguez will ultimately prevail.

A two-time title contender, Ortega has been atop the featherweight division for the last six years. While Ortega has yet to win UFC gold, ranked third, he is a few wins away from being right back in the title picture.

A grappling wizard, Ortega is one of the most dangerous submission artists to grace the octagon. Comfortable off his back, Ortega welcomes opponents into his guard. With seven of fifteen victories coming by submission, it’s best to avoid grappling with Ortega at all costs.

However, Ortega doesn’t always use his grappling abilities. Fancying striking, Ortega will stand and trade with any opponent. Absorbing 6.66 significant strikes a minute, striking has very much been the crux of Ortega’s defeats.

Meanwhile, never in a boring fight, Rodriguez is one of the most dynamic fighters on the UFC roster. Featuring a diverse arsenal on the feet, as well as high output and pace, Rodriguez is as dangerous as any striker in the division. Extremely durable, Rodriguez has proven that he can endure punishment and keep pushing forward.

What has plagued Rodriguez is his lack of ground game. Ortega holds a huge advantage in this regard, but knowing all too well that he will elect to strike instead of grapple, we are to view this fight as a striking contest. One in which Rodriguez will win.

Daniel Zellhuber vs. Francisco Prado

We have a showdown in the lightweight division, as Daniel Zellhuber takes on Francisco Prado.

Winning two consecutive fights, with the last coming by stoppage, Zellhuber is beginning his accession up the lightweight division. Facing Zellhuber is Prado, who bounced back after losing his first professional fight, defeating Ottman Azaitar.

In what has the ingredients to be an excellent fight, we are siding with Zellhuber.

Only twenty-one years old, Prado appears to be a potential diamond in the rough. Dangerous on the feet, Prado throws every strike with bad intentions. With excellent BJJ, if on top, Prado can tap out anyone.

However, Prado is facing a massive lightweight in Zellhuber. Standing 6 ‘1 and with a 77 inch reach, Zellhuber has a three inch height and eight inch reach advantage over Prado.

A striker, Zellhuber does a good job keeping distance and picking apart opponents from the outside. With a takedown defense accuracy of 94%, Zellhuber can reliably keep a fight standing.

While Prado certainly has a chance, given his hard-nosed fighting style, this appears to be a difficult matchup. Being outlanded by 1.8 significant strikes per minute, not only will Prado need to get inside of Zellhuber’s reach, but somehow land with more volume.

In our opinion, that’s easier said than done.

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcois

We have an exciting fight in the bantamweight division, as Raul Rosas Jr. and Ricky Turcois clash.

Coming off a first round stoppage victory over Terrance Mitchell, Rosas Jr. will look to capture his first winning streak in the UFC. Facing Rosas Jr. is Turcois, who has not fought since winning by split decision over Kevin Natividad in 2022.

In what should be a fun fight, we have Rosas Jr. winning.

Winning the ultimate fighter season 29, Turcois had the appearance of someone who could make some noise in the bantamweight division. Exciting and never in a boring fight, Turcois is always fighting, regardless if he’s in a bad position.

However, inactivity has been a crux in his career. Debuting in July of 2013, Turcois is nearing eleven years as a professional with only fifteen fights.

Rosas Jr., who debuted as a professional in August of 2022, has three fights in the UFC and nine overall. Only nineteen years old, Rosas Jr. looks like a promising prospect.

While Turcois is a tough task, and has the tools to make this a dog fight, his takedown defense is vulnerability. Giving up six or more takedowns in two of his three fights in the UFC, Turcois has had difficulty staying upright.

Rosas Jr, who profiles as a grappler, won’t make that any easier. Landing 3.57 takedowns per fifteen minutes, Rosas Jr. is always hunting to get the fight to the mat. With five submission victories on the ledger, Rosas Jr. has a real knack for securing the tap out.

Given Turcois has never been submitted, we aren’t in the belief that Rosas Jr. will be the first to do such. We do believe though, that his grappling, pace and cardio will lend a hand to neutralizing Turcois.

Yazmin Jauregui vs. Sam Hughes

We have a solid fight in the women’s strawweight division, as Yazmin Jauregui takes on Sam Huges.

Falling for the first time as a professional, Jauregui returns to the octagon for the first time in 2024 with the intention of getting back in the win column. Facing Jauregui is Hughes, who is coming off an upset victory over Jaqueline Amorim.

In what is bound to be a battle, we are siding with Jauregui to prevail.

Though Hughes’ record is a mere 8-5, she has quietly won three of the last four fights. Fairly well rounded, Hughes has done a good job adapting inside the octagon. Often mixing it up on the feet, Hughes can be unpredictable. With some wrestling chops, Hughes has done a good job exploiting opponents with iffy takedown defenses.

However, styles make fights.

Armed with excellent takedown defense, Jauregui has an uncanny ability to keep the fight standing. On the feet, Jauregui is active, has power and is dangerous in the clinch. With seven knockout victories, Jauregui is a force to be reckoned with.

While Hughes is the better overall fighter, Jauregui has the takedown defense to keep this fight on the feet. A significance in this fight, as Jauregui outlands Hughes by 2.47 significant strikes per minute.

Though Hughes is tough, unless she can be the first to takedown Jauregui in the octagon, we don’t believe she has the ability to keep pace with Jauregui on the feet.

Manuel Torres vs. Chris Duncan

We have a showdown in the lightweight division, as Manuel Torres takes on Chris Duncan.

A winner of five straight, two of which have come in the UFC, Torres is closing in on earning a big fight. Looking to play spoiler is Duncan, who has won four consecutive fights, with two coming inside the octagon.

In what should be an entertaining fight to kick off the main card, we are siding with Torres.

Looking promising in only two UFC fights, Duncan is beaming with potential. Landing over 5.08 significant strikes per minute and scoring 3.63 takedowns per fifteen minutes, Duncan has showcased well rounded abilities.

While all positives, Duncan is up against a buzzsaw in Torres.

A striker, Torres is a dangerous man to stand across from. Landing an absurd 9.66 significant strikes per minute, at a 58% accuracy, Torres is difficult to evade. With six submission victories on the resume, Torres isn’t a one-trick pony.

Though we don’t expect this fight to be easy, Duncan has relied on his wrestling to help win both fights in the UFC. Torres, who has yet to be taken down, has shown reliable takedown defense.

If this fight were to stay standing, Torres’ output, precision and power would be tough for Duncan to overcome. Especially in round one, as Torres’ ability to pressure and blitz opponents has led to three consecutive first-round knockouts.

Given Duncan’s lone loss came by knockout, there is a real possibility Torres can extend that streak.

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How to Start Betting on UFC — Fight Night

With thirteen fights scheduled, there are plenty of opportunities to bet on UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2. If you are looking to get in on the action and are looking for a sportsbook to place a bet on, we’ll show you how to set up an account at our top sportsbook – Bovada.

Step 1: Create an Account

Bovada Signup

  • Head to the homepage of Bovada
  • Click “Join” to start your registration
  • Fill out the registration form with the correct information

Step 2: Verify Your Account

  • Wait for a text with a code from the sportsbook
  • Enter the code to verify your cell number

Step 3: Deposit & Bet on the UFC

  • Click the link to the Cashier page
  • Make a minimum deposit to qualify for the sports bonus at Bovada
  • Start betting on UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2.

Other UFC Picks for Tonight (Over/Under + Method of Victory)

Betting Strategy

Looking for ways to gain an edge before you bet on the fights? Then look no further.

Over/Under Bets on UFC

Among mixed martial arts fans, it’s common knowledge that the unpredictable is typical.

However, there are trends and styles that lean towards a certain bet. In this instance, we are discussing over/under. When trying to decide on an over/under, there are several aspects that go into finding the right side to be on. Observing this card, there are plenty of examples that we have shared for our latest UFC predictions.

Manuel Torres vs. Chris Duncan

Manuel Torres has a record of 14-2. Of those 14 wins, 13 have come inside the distance (7 knockouts, 6 submissions. In sixteen fights, Torres has been stopped twice.

Chris Duncan has a record of 11-1. Of those 11 wins, 8 have come inside the distance (7 knockouts, 1 submission). In twelve fights, Duncan has been stopped only once.

The over/under is set at 1 ½ (-200 Under)

Torres has gone under 1 ½ rounds in nine consecutive fights and fifteen of his sixteen fights. Duncan has hit the under 1 ½ mark in five of the last ten fights.

Although Duncan has mixed results in fighting under 1 ½ rounds, Torres has largely fought under the mark. In fact, only once has Torres seen a round two.

Duncan, being the more well rounded fighter has the weapon of wrestling to slow down the action. Yet, with Torres boasting a 100% takedown defense, we are so certain Duncan will be able to find success wrestling.

That would certainly aid the under, as a striking contest would almost certainly lead to a finish. Especially when you factor in that fifteen of Torres’ sixteen fights have ended in round one.

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcois

Raul Rosas Jr. has a record of 8-1. Of those 8 wins, 7 have come inside the distance (2 knockouts, 5 submissions). In nine fights, Rosas Jr. has never been stopped.

Ricky Turcois has a record of 12-3. Of those 12 wins, 4 have come inside the distance (3 knockouts, 1 submission).

The over/under is set at 2 ½ (-155 Over)

Rosas Jr. has gone over 2 ½ rounds in two of the last four fights. Turcois has hit the over 2 ½ mark in three consecutive fights and ten of his fifteen fights.

Before competing on Dana White’s contender series, Rosas Jr. had a 100% finishing rate. Since then, it’s dipped to 50%. With competition stiffening, Rosas Jr. isn’t finding it easy to put away opponents.

As for Turcois, with only four wins inside the distance, the ultimate fighter season 29 winner has lacked the ability to finish fights. Losing only once by stoppage, Turcois has proven to be durable. All in all, Turcois is a decision fighter.

Given the trends and the fact that both men are durable, we believe that the chances this one goes to the scorecards is high.

Method of Victory

When trying to figure out the outcome of the fight, it’s important to look through a fighter’s record. There you can gauge whether a fighter is proficient in knockouts, submissions, or both. Lastly, look at what a fighter has done of late to find a trend.

Looking at this card, there are several fighters who are more likely to win by a certain outcome. Check out our method of victory UFC predictions:

Sam Hughes

Sam Hughes has a record of 8-5. Of those 8 wins, 3 have come by decision.

A seven-fight veteran in the UFC, Hughes has only scored one stoppage victory with the promotion. The stoppage, which was one of three wins with the UFC, came late in round three to boot.

While Hughes is certainly capable of scoring finishes, with three decision wins in the last five victories, there is more certainty in her victories coming on the scorecards.

Against Yazin Jauregui, who has won eight of eleven fights ending inside the distance, there is cause for concern. Yet, with three decisions coming in the last eight fights, it appears the competition improving has increased the chances Jauregui’s fighting for fifteen minutes.

Knowing that Hughes is tough as nails, and Jauregui has only lost once by stoppage, we believe if Hughes were to win, it would come by decision.

The odds for Hughes to win by decision is (+550).

Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan has a record of 11-1. Of those 11 wins, 7 have come by knockout.

Although Duncan has seen three of his last four wins come on the scorecards, there are certain opponents that do not fight the full fifteen minutes. Manuel Torres happens to be one of those opponents.

Seeing a round two only once in his sixteen professional fights, Torres has settled in as a one-round fighter. Though his two losses have come by submission, if the fight were to enter round two, there are a lot of questions regarding Torres’ cardio.

If tired, we believe that Duncan can certainly capitalize and be the first to stop Torres via strikes.

The odds for Dunan to win by knockout is (+235).

Benefits of UFC Bets

1. Plenty of time to study fights

Unlike some of the major sports, which are daily, the UFC holds events weekly or bi-weekly. This gives ample time to break down fights and make educated bets.

2. Fight Cards are filled with opportunities

There are at least ten or more fights on a usual fight card. While not every fight is going to tickle your fancy, there are plenty of other fights to get action on.

3. Excellent props

The options are endless when it comes to UFC props. Whether you’re looking to bet on the exact outcome of a fight or what round the fight ends in, UFC betting sites have given way to the consumer finding precisely what they want action on.

4. Easy for beginners

With readily available information and videos of fights accessible to watch, betting on the UFC for beginners is as easy as betting on boxing or the NFL. Sportsbooks are even starting to provide information on trends, which helps a lot, especially for beginners.

Where to Bet On UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2

Finding the right UFC betting site that caters to your every need can be tough. Our top 5 picks are as follows:

Our top pick is Bovada, as it offers users some of the most exciting betting odds out there – and don’t forget about the generous bonuses available for all of its users! Make your way to Bovada’s website to find everything you need to know about its latest bonuses and promos.

UFC Predictions – FAQs

Guide to Betting

How Can I Watch UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2?

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 will be available to watch in its entirety on ESPN+ – which is ESPN’s streaming service.

The preliminary card starts at 7:00 PM eastern, while the main card starts at 10 PM eastern.

Who’s Fighting on UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2?

The main event of UFC Fight Night features an important flyweight contest, as former flyweight champion Brandon Moreno takes on third-ranked Brandon Royval in a rematch.

Where Can I Find the Best Odds for UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2?

Bovada has the best odds for your UFC picks. According to Bovada, Brandon Royval is a +240 underdog. If you placed $100 on Royval, your total payout will be $340.

Brandon Moreno comes in as a -300 favorite, which means you have to place $300 on Moreno to win $100.

Tips for Picking the Right UFC Bets

1. Sign Up for Multiple Sportsbooks

There are several reasons why signing up for multiple sportsbooks makes sense. For one, you can compare odds. This is called line shopping.

The benefit of line shopping is to cash in on the odds with the higher payout.

Another reason why signing up for multiple betting sites is a good idea is you get to enjoy several sports bonuses at the same time. Whether it’s deposit bonuses or free bets, sportsbooks have enticing offers that give the consumer little reason not to get in on the action.

Plus, you’ll find additional bonuses and markets for other betting categories like horse racing and football – which is great if you tend to place bets on other sports as well.

2. Don’t Be Afraid to Hedge

In every sport, upsets occur. In mixed martial arts, the unpredictable often shines brightest.

If you place a parlay that is one fight away from cashing in, even if the odds are tremendously in your favor, don’t be afraid to hedge.

In a sport where a fight can end on a dime, whether a stoppage occurs or an injury halts the bout, it’s better to be safer. After all, profit is profit until it isn’t.

3. Keep an Eye on Live Betting Odds

When the fight is underway, and you have action on a particular fighter, it’s smart to watch the live betting odds. Especially if the fighter you picked dominates and looks to be closing in on cashing your bet.

The reason to look is that in that scenario, the opposition’s odds will be astronomically inflated. To miss an opportunity to sprinkle some on the opponent and assure profit could be costly.

For example, when round five started between Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards in their second fight, Usman was a -5000 favorite, according to BetOnline. Edwards was a +1200 underdog to win and +4000 to win via knockout in round five. Given that the odds continue to change during the fight, Edwards could be an even bigger underdog.

Anyways, Edwards went on to stun Usman with a head-kick knockout with less than a minute left in the fight – leaving backers of Usman stunned and with losing bets.

If you regularly find yourself betting on other sports as well, check out our Super Bowl picks.

Did You Like Our Latest UFC Picks & Predictions?

That’s it for today’s UFC predictions.

A two-time flyweight champion, Brandon Moreno returns to the octagon looking to re-insert himself into the title picture. Fighting in a non-title fight, which snaps six consecutive title fights, Moreno will have to defeat the man who he last fought in a non-title fight – Brandon Royval.

Coming off a loss in his first crack at UFC gold, Royval jumped at the opportunity to replace an injured Amir Albazi and fight Moreno. Bestowed with a gift, Royval has an opportunity to exact revenge and knock off the number one ranked flyweight.

Whether your money is on Moreno or Royval, make sure you are taking the best price possible – which will usually be available either at Bovada or BetOnline.

Thanks for reading and remember to bet responsibly!

 

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