UFC Picks for Today – Predictions, Tips & Odds for the Latest UFC Fight Cards

UFC picks

With new fights happening every week, it’s pretty tough to keep up with the favorites, underdogs – and, most importantly, the value bets.

But with our expert UFC picks, you can always stay ahead of the curve. So, what’s up for this week?

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Summary of Our Top UFC Predictions for UFC Vegas 93

A quick breakdown of our top UFC fight predictions today, which are explained in more detail in the article, for this upcoming UFC Vegas 93 card.

Bet Odds Sportsbook
Tatsuro Taira wins in Round 1,2 or 3 +150 Betwhale
Douglas Silva de Andrade wins by KO, TKO or DQ +300 Betwhale
Garrett Armfield by KO, TKO, or DQ in Round 3 +1200 Betwhale
Tatsuro Taira wins by submission +120 Betwhale
Ikram Aliskerov and Under 1.5 Rounds -200 Betwhale
Lucas Almeida Moneyline +165 Betwhale
Douglas Silva de Andrade Moneyline +105 Betwhale
Asu Almabayev wins by Decision +200 Bovada
Garrett Armfield wins inside the distance +175 BetOnline

How We Picked The Best UFC Bets

  • Tatsuro Taira wins in Round 1,2 or 3 – With a 73.3% finishing rate, Tatsuro Taira has halted the action more often than not. Though well-versed both on the feet and the ground, it’s the mat where Taira thrives. Winning seven fights by submission, including four of the last five stoppage victories, Taira is always fishing for the tap-out. Facing Alex Perez, who has been stopped in six of his eight losses, five by submission and all in round one, we feel that Taira has an excellent opportunity to score a finish before the championship rounds.
  • Douglas Silva de Andrade by KO, TKO or DQ – If you are backing Douglas Silva de Andrade and are looking to squeeze out some more value, we recommend picking Silva de Andrade to win by knockout. Winning twenty-two of twenty-nine fights inside the distance, Silva de Andrade is always hunting for the stoppage. More specifically though, by knockout, as twenty of the twenty-two stoppage victories have come by strikes. Against Miles Johns, who has been stopped in both of his losses, there is a real chance that Silva de Andrade can score the knockout.
  • Garrett Armfield by KO,TKO or DQ in Round 3 – If you have Garrett Armfield winning this fight, and by stoppage, you should look into the knockout bet in round three. The reason we like this prop bet is that opponent Brady Hiestand is a wrestler, who is tough despite having an iffy chin and is outgunned on the feet. All ingredients that make for a grueling fight, that could see an accumulation of damage put a halt to Hiestand in the third round for the second time in his career. At +1200, this bet is worth a stab.

Best UFC Picks Today

Picks and Predictions

Here are some of our UFC predictions today and the latest picks for UFC betting:

Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira

The main event comes in the flyweight division, as the fifth-ranked Alex Perez takes on the thirteenth-ranked Tatsuro Taira.

Coming off a knockout win over Matheus Nicolau, Alex Perez ended a three-fight skid and notched his first win in nearly four years. Ranked back in the top five and fighting in his second straight main event, Perez has an excellent opportunity to jump back into the title picture with a victory.

A well-rounded fighter, Perez has proven to be equally dangerous on the feet and the ground. With six stoppage victories in the past eight wins, three coming by knockout and three by submission, Perez is always a threat to halt the action.

Meanwhile, unbeaten in fifteen fights, Tatsuro Taira has earned his dues inside the octagon. Rewarded with his first main event slot, as well as a top-five ranked opponent, Taira has a chance to catapult himself into the thick of the flyweight division with a victory.

A prospect with immense potential, Taira has delivered excellent performances both with his striking and grappling. On the feet, Taira is precise and features a heavy dose of leg strikes in his attack. On the ground, Taira is at his best though. With solid grappling and an array of submissions, Taira is not one to tangle with on the mat.

In what should be an entertaining main event, we are backing Taira.

A former title challenger, Perez was once viewed as a future champion. Three losses and multiple pull-outs due to injuries, saw Perez spiral down the flyweight rankings.

However, Perez has made up for lost time. Fighting for the third time in less than four months, Perez, who is back in the top five, can capture his first winning streak since 2020 and cement his name on the shortlist of contenders at 125 pounds.

While Perez can certainly win this fight, we feel that not only is Taira a tall task, but so is making a third weight cut in less than four months. Notably missing weight on several occasions, the cut down to 125 pounds is certainly not an easy one for Perez.

Slated for five rounds, with an expected pace to be grueling, the multiple weight cuts in such a short span could be something worth monitoring as the fight wanes.

Having said that, the weight cut isn’t the main reason we are siding with Taira. Stylistically, Taira is the type of fighter that has given Perez issues.

Although a good striker, with a five-inch reach advantage in this fight, Taira is a grappling specialist. Boasting solid top control and a bevy of submissions, Taira has had a knack for tapping out opponents.

Perez, who has lost eight times, five by submission, will have to do his very best to keep the fight upright. A major importance in this fight, as Perez is 0-3 inside the octagon when taken down.

Given Taira has landed a takedown in four of his five UFC fights, with the lone fight without a takedown still resulting in 3:36 time of control in a fight that lasted 5:55, we believe that Taira will eventually get the fight to the ground and submit Perez.

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Ikram Aliskerov vs. Antonio Trocoli

The co-main event comes in the middleweight division, as Ikram Aliskerov takes on Antonio Trocoli.

On a seven-fight win streak, with two wins coming in the UFC, Ikram Aliskerov will look to continue his climb up the middleweight division. Facing Aliskerov is Antonio Trocoli, who is making his UFC debut on the heels of a three-fight win streak.

In what should be an exciting fight, we are siding with Aliskerov.

Originally signed by the UFC in 2019, Trocoli was released from the promotion before stepping inside the octagon due to a failed drug test. Fighting back on the regional scene, Trocoli picked up a victory and signed back with the UFC in 2022.

However, Trocoli has still yet to fight inside the octagon, withdrawing from two fights.

A towering figure at middleweight, Trocoli is 6’5 and has an 82-inch reach. Equipped with good wrestling, Trocoli is a sore sight to see in top control, as he boasts devastating ground-and-pound. Known to be a fast starter, Trocoli is dangerous in the opening rounds.

Having said that, there are too many factors working against Trocoli in this fight.

Not only is Aliskerov a tough draw to debut against, but Trocoli has only fought once in nearly five years and has not fought at middleweight since 2017. Jumping in on two weeks’ notice and attempting to cut down to a weight that you haven’t fought at in roughly seven years is a red flag.

Regardless of that though, Aliskerov is the better overall fighter.

Despite giving up five inches of height and six inches of reach, Aliskerov has the advantage on the feet. Well-versed in kickboxing and with knockout power, the longer the fight stays standing, the higher the chances Aliskerov will score a stoppage. Far from a one-trick pony, Aliskerov is a good grappler and a legitimate submission threat.

Although anything can happen in a fight, it’s hard to forget that Trocoli was dominated by Jacob Volkmann back in 2016. A fighter that was likely twenty pounds lighter, as well as had an eight-inch height and nearly eleven-inch reach disadvantage against Trocoli.

With that said, we believe Aliskerov will have his way with Trocoli and dominate this fight.

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Timothy Cuamba vs. Lucas Almeida

We have an exciting fight in the featherweight division, as Timothy Cuamba takes on Lucas Almeida.

Seeing a five-fight win streak come to an end with a loss in his UFC debut, Timothy Cuamba returns to the octagon seeking to notch UFC win number one. Facing Cuamba is Lucas Almeida, who has failed to build off his thrilling UFC debut victory over Michael Trizano, dropping back-to-back fights.

In what should be a fun fight, we have Almeida winning.

Fighting up a weight class in his octagon debut, Cuamba nearly pulled off the victory, losing by split decision. Showing off his fast hands and explosiveness at times, Cuamba had several positive moments in the octagon.

However, while Cuamba looks to be a blossoming talent, he has shown flaws within his game. The most apparent is his lack of output. Landing 33 significant strikes against Bolaji Oki, and 43 significant strikes in his previous fight, Cuamba is averaging a mere 2.53 significant strikes per minute.

Against Lucas Almeida, we believe that Cuamba will need to be more active or utilize his wrestling to land timely takedowns. The latter being a real possibility, as Almeida’s 40% takedown defense isn’t inspiring.

Having said that, even if Almeida gets taken down, Cuamba isn’t strong in top control. Almeida should be able to get back to the feet, an area where he is landing 2.52 more significant strikes per minute than Cuamba, and is a staggering 13% more accurate striking.

In addition, Cuamba isn’t a power threat. If anything, Almeida is, as he has won nine of his thirteen victories by knockout. Durable as well, despite being stopped by strikes for the first time in his career last fight, Almeida is tough to put away – as we saw in his UFC debut.

A slight underdog, we like Almeida to pull off the upset.

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Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Miles Johns

We have a fun matchup in the bantamweight division, as Douglas Silva de Andrade takes on Miles Johns.

A winner of three of the last four fights, Douglas Silva de Andrade is in the midst of his best stretch in the UFC since 2018. Facing Silva de Andrade is Miles Johns, who is unbeaten in his last three fights.

In a fight destined to be a battle, we are siding with Silva de Andrade.

Eclipsing ten years with the promotion and nearing his 39th birthday, Silva de Andrade is no spring chicken. Facing tough competition throughout his UFC tenure, including two former champions, Silva de Andrade has a respectable 7-5 record inside the octagon.

A striker, with power in his hands, Silva de Andrade has won by knockout in twenty of his twenty-nine victories. Boasting physical strength, good takedown defense, and durability, Silva de Andrade is a tough out for anyone who faces him.

Facing Johns, we feel that this will be a competitive fight.

A former collegiate wrestler, Johns has finally tapped into his background of late. Landing takedowns in the last three fights, and five overall, Johns has upped his takedown average per fifteen minutes to 1.15. With power on the feet, Johns can disrupt a fight with one punch.

However, Johns is neither active nor accurate with his takedowns. Landing 3.28 significant strikes per minute, Johns has eclipsed 50 significant strikes only once in eight UFC fights. With a 16.6% takedown accuracy, Johns has been stuffed on thirty of his thirty-six takedown attempts.

Problematic, as Silva de Andrade is notably tough to take down, turning aside twenty-two of the last twenty-eight takedowns.

In addition, Silva de Andrade has a slight power edge, as well as is more active and durable. All important factors in what could be a close fight.

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Asu Almabayev vs. Jose Johnson

We have a showdown in the flyweight division, as Asu Almabayev squares off against Jose Johnson.

A winner of fifteen consecutive fights, two of which have come in the UFC, Asu Almabayev will look to continue his climb up the flyweight division. Facing Almabayev is Jose Johnson, who after notching his first UFC victory, will drop down to 125 pounds.

In what is an intriguing fight, we are picking Almabayev to prevail.

Defeating Ode Osbourne and CJ Vergara, Almabayev has stormed into the UFC with two quality victories. A wrestler, with a BJJ black belt, Almabayev does his best work on the mat. Never pushing the envelope and comfortable maintaining top control, Almabayev will wait for the opportunity to fish for the finish. With solid cardio, Almabayev is a prospect to watch at flyweight.

Facing Jose Johnson, we expect this fight to be won or lost in the trenches.

Standing 6’0 and with a 71.5-inch reach, Johnson may just be the tallest flyweight to ever compete in the UFC. A solid striker, Johnson utilizes his length, firing off leg kicks and strikes from range. Athletic and explosive, Johnson can be difficult to hit.

While it’s clear that Johnson has an edge in striking, and in size, there are two aspects in this fight that have us leaning Almabayev.

For one, Johnson has never fought at flyweight before. Fighting as high as lightweight, and often bouncing from featherweight to bantamweight, it would appear that this weight cut is going to be taxing on the body.

Two, Johnson has poor takedown defense. Giving up six takedowns in two UFC fights, Johnson’s takedown defense accuracy sits at 36%.

Against Almabayev, that won’t fly. Scoring nine takedowns in the victory over CJ Vergara and two against Ode Osbourne, Almabayev is averaging 7.12 takedowns per fifteen minutes.

Knowing that Almabayev’s game plan will revolve around a heavy dose of wrestling and Johnson has had difficulties stopping takedowns, we believe that the Kazakh will grind out his third UFC victory.

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Brady Hiestand vs. Garrett Armfield

Opening the main card, we have a showdown in the bantamweight division, as Brady Hiestand takes on Garrett Armfield.

After falling short in the Ultimate Fighter season 29 finale, Brady Hestand is starting to generate some buzz, winning back-to-back fights. Facing Hiestand is Garrett Armfield, who has put to bed his short-notice debut loss, winning two consecutive fights.

In what should be a battle, we are siding with Armfield.

Back after upsetting Brad Katona in January of 2024, Armfield has an opportunity to continue his climb up the bantamweight division. A technical boxer, who lands with high output, Armfield has the ability to outland anyone on the feet. Scrappy and durable, with some skills on the mat too, Armfield is a dangerous opponent to face.

Against Hiestand, we see this matchup being a contender for ‘Fight of the Night’.

A wrestler, Hiestand is averaging 4.06 takedowns per fifteen minutes. Landing at least three takedowns in each of his three octagon appearances, Hiestand has yet to face resistance in looking to get the fight to the mat.

However, Hiestand has some glaring flaws.

Though accurate on the feet, Hiestand lacks output and comfortability when striking. In three UFC fights, Hiestand is averaging less than three significant strikes per minute and landed a low of 19 in a decision victory over Fernie Garcia.

Problematic, as Armfield more than doubles Hiestand’s output, landing 3.29 more significant strikes per minute.

While it’s expected that Hiestand will look to get the fight to the ground, Armfield arguably just defeated a better wrestler in Brad Katona. Stuffing five of nine takedown attempts and avoiding long lulls of control time, Armfield showed an unwillingness to be held down.

Against Hiestand, we expect Armfield to once again, show off his defensive wrestling and grappling.

When on the feet, Armfield is going to be too much for Hiestand. Though noted for being tough as nails, enduring two knockdowns in the UFC, Hiestand’s chin is iffy at best. Significant, as Armfield’s volume might prove to be too much for Hiestand to handle over three rounds.

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How to Start Betting on UFC Vegas 93

Betwhale Sports Signup

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Create an Account

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Other UFC Picks for Tonight (Over/Under + Method of Victory)

Betting Strategy

Looking for ways to gain an edge before you bet on the fights? Then look no further.

Over/Under Bets on UFC

Among mixed martial arts fans, it’s common knowledge that the unpredictable is typical.

However, some trends and styles lean towards a certain bet. In this instance, we are discussing over/under. When trying to decide on an over/under, several aspects go into finding the right side to be on. Observing this card, there are plenty of examples that we have shared for our latest UFC predictions.

Isram Aliskerov vs. Antonio Trocoli

Isram Aliskerov has a record of 15-1. Of those 15 wins, 11 have come inside the distance (6 knockouts, 5 submissions). In sixteen fights, Aliskerov has been stopped once.

Antonio Trocoli has a record of 12-3. Of those 12 wins, 8 have come inside the distance (3 knockouts, 5 submissions). In fifteen fights, Trocoli has been stopped once.

The over/under is set at 1 ½ (-220 Under)

Aliskerov has gone under 1 ½ rounds in three consecutive fights. Trocoli has hit the under 1 ½ mark in only three fights, one being his most recent.

While Trocoli has largely fought deep into fights, and by no means statistically aids this under, this matchup, as evident by the +600 underdog odds, is a tough one for the debutant. Aliskerov is a pure finisher, winning nine of the last ten fights by stoppage. Well-rounded and overwhelming a better striker, if Trocoli can’t get the fight to the mat, we believe Aliskerov is bound to halt the action

Add in that Trocoli is cutting down to middleweight for the first time since 2017 and it’s possible the weight cut leaves him compromised inside the octagon.

Brady Hiestand vs. Garrett Armfield

Brady Hiestand has a record of 7-2. Of those 7 wins, 5 have come inside the distance (3 knockouts, 2 submissions). In nine fights, Hiestand has been stopped once.

Garrett Armfield has a record of 10-3. Of those 10 wins, 8 have come inside the distance (6 knockouts, 2 submissions). In thirteen fights, Armfield has been stopped twice.

The over/under is set at 2 ½ (+140 Under)

Hiestand has gone under 2 ½ rounds in five of his nine fights. Armfield has hit the under 2 ½ mark in eight of the last ten fights.

Although the odds favor this fight going the distance, we feel that the value is within the under.

Hiestand isn’t necessarily a finisher, more than a smothering wrestling. Yet, with holes in his striking and having been knocked down twice in three UFC fights, Hiestand is vulnerable.

Meanwhile, Armfield is a finisher, winning 80% of his victories inside the distance. Well-rounded, and substantially a better striker than Hiestand, if this fight stays upright long enough, Armfield has an excellent chance to score a stoppage.

Also, Armfield has lost twice by submission. Hiestand being at his best on the mat, there is always a possibility a finish could come to fruition there as well.

Method of Victory

When trying to figure out the outcome of the fight, it’s important to look through a fighter’s record. There you can gauge whether a fighter is proficient in knockouts, submissions, or both. Lastly, look at what a fighter has done of late to find a trend.

Looking at this card, there are several fighters who are more likely to win by a certain outcome. Check out our method of victory UFC predictions:

Tatsuro Taira

Tatsuro Taira has a record of 15-0. Of those 15 wins, 7 have come via submission.

A talented prospect, with a grasp everywhere, Taira has won eleven of his fifteen victories inside the distance. At his best on the ground, however, Taira has won five of his last six stoppage victories by submission.

Facing Alex Perez, who has been submitted in five of his eight losses, we could be in store for another tap-out victory for Taira. Especially, when you factor that Perez is 0-3 when taken down in the UFC and this fight is scheduled for five rounds.

The odds for Taira to win by submission is (+120).

Timothy Cuamba

Timothy Cuamba has a record of 8-2. Of those 8 wins, 4 have come by decision.

A fairly green fighter, Cuamba is good everywhere, but not necessarily strong in any one area yet. Scoring four knockouts in eight wins, Cuamba can put a halt to the action.

However, Cuamba scores his knockouts not from one punch, but an accumulation over the fight.

Facing Lucas Almeida, who has only been finished once by strikes in seventeen fights, we don’t believe that it’s likely Cuamba will score a finish. Instead, we feel that if Cuamba were to win, it’s going to come on the scorecards.

The odds for Cuamba to win by decision is (+250).

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Benefits of UFC Bets

  1. Plenty of time to study fights

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  2. Fight Cards are filled with opportunities

    There are at least ten or more fights on a usual fight card. While not every fight is going to tickle your fancy, there are plenty of other fights to get action on.

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UFC Predictions – FAQs

Guide to Betting

How Can I Watch UFC Vegas 93: Perez vs. Taira?

UFC Vegas 93: Perez vs. Taira will be available to watch in its entirety on ESPN+ – which is ESPN’s streaming service.

The preliminary card starts at 7:00 PM Eastern, while the main card starts at 10:00 PM Eastern.

Who’s Fighting on UFC Vegas 93: Perez vs. Taira?

The main event of UFC Vegas 93 features an important fight in the flyweight division, as the former title challenger Alex Perez takes on the thirteenth-ranked Tatsuro Taira.

Where Can I Find the Best Odds for UFC Vegas 93: Perez vs. Taira?

Betwhale has the best odds for your UFC picks. According to Betwhale, Alex Perez is a +155 underdog. If you placed $100 on Perez, your total payout will be $255.

Tatsuro Taira comes in as a -185 favorite, which means you have to place $185 on Taira to win $100.

Expert Tips & Tricks for Picking the Right UFC Bets

  1. Sign Up for Multiple Sportsbooks

    There are several reasons why signing up for multiple sportsbooks makes sense. For one, you can compare odds. This is called line shopping.

    The benefit of line shopping is to cash in on the odds with the higher payout.

    Another reason why signing up for multiple betting sites is a good idea is you get to enjoy several sports bonuses at the same time. Whether it’s deposit bonuses or free bets, sportsbooks have enticing offers that give the consumer little reason not to get in on the action.

    Plus, you’ll find additional bonuses and markets for other betting categories like horse racing and football – which is great if you tend to place bets on other sports as well.

  2. Don’t Be Afraid to Hedge

    In every sport, upsets occur. In mixed martial arts, the unpredictable often shines brightest.

    If you place a parlay that is one fight away from cashing in, even if the odds are tremendously in your favor, don’t be afraid to hedge.

    In a sport where a fight can end on a dime, whether a stoppage occurs or an injury halts the bout, it’s better to be safer. After all, profit is profit until it isn’t.

  3. Keep an Eye on Live Betting Odds

    When the fight is underway, and you have action on a particular fighter, it’s smart to watch the live betting odds. Especially if the fighter you picked dominates and looks to be closing in on cashing your bet.

    The reason to look is that in that scenario, the opposition’s odds will be astronomically inflated. To miss an opportunity to sprinkle some on the opponent and assure profit could be costly.

    For example, when round five started between Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards in their second fight, Usman was a -5000 favorite, according to BetOnline. Edwards was a +1200 underdog to win and +4000 to win via knockout in round five. Given that the odds continue to change during the fight, Edwards could be an even bigger underdog.

    Anyways, Edwards went on to stun Usman with a head-kick knockout with less than a minute left in the fight – leaving backers of Usman stunned and with losing bets.

If you regularly find yourself betting on other sports as well, check out our March Madness betting guide.

Did You Like Our Latest UFC Picks & Predictions?

That’s it for today’s UFC fight predictions.

Whether your money is on Perez or Taira, make sure you are taking the best price possible – which will usually be available either at Betwhale or Bovada.

Thanks for reading and remember to bet responsibly!

 

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